Dow 5-Year Chart
The rebound since March 2009's low of 6,547 will have only 3 waves for both cases. Wave (1) & (2) were completed, sub-wave i & ii of wave (3) were also completed. sub-wave iii as shown below will be completed within a week or two. November may see the completion of sub-wave iv with a correction of about7%, sub-wave v is likely to complete in January 2011. Watch out for a double tops formation when v reaches the top of iii. If wave (3) has only five sub-waves, this bear market rebound can end in January. However if wave (3) has nine sub-wave as shown above, it is likely to last until July 2011. Click on the chart to enlarge it.
BM Industrial has completed its mega wave (I), (II), (III) & (IV) since its 1998 Asian Financial Crisis's low. Its mega wave (IV) pull back was caused by the 2008 US financial crisis. I expect the industrial index to complete its mega wave (V) when Dow completes its major wave (3), the two indices will move south together.
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