Thursday, December 21, 2017

Dutaland Bhd (Rm 0.545)

Duta started to move up strongly with high volume in August upon the announcement that Boustead Plantation has proposed to buy from Duta 11,579.31 hectares of plantation land for Rm 750 million.

From August's low of 41 sens Duta share price moved to a high of 73 sens (+78%) by end of October. The subsequent price consolidation brought the price to 52 sens by end of November. Since then Duta has formed 5 little waves in up-trend direction.

There is a possibility that Duta has completed its wave (iv) correction and is on its way to complete its wave (v).

From Duta's latest quarterly report, it has a net cash position of Rm 5 millions. Once the land sale is completed, Duta will have cash of Rm 755 millions, which is 89 sens of cash a share in addition to its 26 hectares of land at Kenny Height that has a market value of Rm 1.068 billion. Duta's share in Kenny Height is 58% with Olympia having the balance of 42%.


Tuesday, December 19, 2017

FBMKLCI - Crucial moment

FBMKLCI (1,736)

KLCI dropped sharply to 1,736 level today, losing 14 points or 0.84%. Last Thursday's high of 1,759 could be the end of sub-wave ii and KLCI could be forming its sub-wave iii of (iii) of C currently. It is heading for 1,520 level for its 15% pullback.

However, if KLCI can have a U-turn starting tomorrow and can move all the way up, up and up, the picture will be different.

Then KLCI is going for wave (iii), (iv) and (v) of its wave B. But once KLCI continues to drop in the next few days, we can forget about this possibility and should expect KLCI to reach 1,520 level to complete its current wave C formation.

ATTA Global Group Bhd (Rm 0.855)

ATTA surged 14.77% or 11 sens to close at 85.5 sens with high volume of 3.7 millions shares. The December low of 68 sens is either the wave A of its mega wave (2) and the current run-up is the wave B.

Or it is the mega wave (2) and the current run-up is the mega wave (3).


Thursday, December 14, 2017


Dow (24,585)

Dow continues to move higher in the last few days with new record highs and has eliminated the possibility that sub-wave v has ended as the mini wave 9 has five minor waves.

FBMKLCI (1,759)

Within 3 trading sessions KLCI has gained 40 points and has surpassed my projected target of 1,750 for sub-wave ii.

With this sharp magnitude it appeared to me that the current rebound is more likely to be a wave (iv) of C as shown below and I expect KLCI to move lower and lower again.

Where wave C is going to have 9 waves for a 15% pullback to complete the mega wave (6).

But if KLCI can continue to move higher and higher in the next few weeks, it is possible that the wave B of (6) has not been completed yet and wave C with 15% pullback has not yet started.

The June high of 1,792 is not the end of major wave 3 of B, it is the wave (i) of 3 of B.

The low of 1,713 on 4th December is the wave (ii) of 3 of B.


Monday, December 11, 2017

Malayan United Industries Bhd (Rm 0.22)

Upon the announcement by Tan Sri Khoo Kay Peng that His son Andrew Khoo will be taking over from him as the new CEO of Mui effective 1st January 2018, Mui was actively traded today with volume of about 32 millions. Its share price went to a high of 23.5 sens before settled at 22 sens at the close for a 1 sen gain.

I still like to maintain my existing wave count for Mui despite of the announcement. The current rebound is the wave ii of its wave C.

Unless I am wrong, I expect Mui to continue to move lower in the next 2 to 3 months to complete the wave C of its major wave 2.


Sunday, December 10, 2017

Dow - Possible turning point

Dow (24,329)

Another new closing record high for Dow on Friday. Looking at Dow's hourly chart, Dow opened with a gap on Monday morning, very likely, that is an exhaust gap.

There is a possibility that Dow might have ended its major wave and major wave 8 correction might have started. I expect Dow to pullback to 20,400 level for a 16.7% correction.

But if the major wave 7 has 9 waves, then the current correction could be a 5% sub-wave vi pullback to 23,270 level. After sub-wave vi, we still have sub-waves vii, viii and ix in front.

However if Dow continues to move higher to welcome 2018, then whether one likes it or not, Dow will continue with its bullish run as shown below. The next up is the minor minor wave iii of minor wave (iii).

FBMKLCI (1,721)

I expect KLCI to rebound to around 1,750 level to form its sub-wave ii of C. Be careful of the next drop, it can be quite damaging as it is the sub-wave iii of wave (iii) of C.

Berjaya Corporation Bhd. (Rm 0.355)

BJCorp has a bullish chart. It has completed its 7 long years of downtrend with a price-OBV divergence at the end of 2016. In November there was a bullish OBV short-term breakout before a price breakout. The current wave c of (ii) correction could be the last time BJCorp  goes to retest its 32 sens level.

Malayan United Industries Bhd (Rm 0.21)

Same as BJCorp, Mui is also forming the wave C of its major wave 2. It is likely to go to 15 sens or below.

Inari Amertron Bhd (Rm 3.22)

Inari has started to form the sub-wave ix of its wave (vii).

Insas Bhd (Rm 0.92)

If Insas can move higher from its current level, then we have a failure sub-wave v to complete the wave c of its wave (iv).

It is also possible that Insas may continue to go lower to have a 5-wave sub-wave v to complete the wave of (iv).


Sunday, December 3, 2017

Dow - 3 possibilities

Dow (24,231)

Has Dow reached its turning point? Is the historical high of 24,272 on Thursday the end of its major wave 7? Is Dow heading for a 15% pullback?

This is the most bearish outcome - a major wave 8 correction.

Even if Dow started to drop in the next two weeks, a less bearish outcome is a sub-wave vi correction.

A bullish outcome is when Dow continues to move higher in the next two weeks for more record breaking.

The early November high and the subsequent correction is not the mini wave 7 and 8 but is a lower degree minor wave (i) and (ii). Sub-wave v has not yet ended .

FBMKLCI (1,717)

KLCI continued with its wave C correction. I am expecting a sub-wave ii rebound.

USD/MYR (Rm4.09 to 1USD)

The USD/MYR rate reached 4.09 on Friday. Is the wave C of (2) in progress? Possibility is there.