My choice for the 8th PM
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Tuesday, August 21, 2018
Saturday, August 18, 2018
Weekly update
Dow (25,669)
Not much changes to my reading for Dow. If it can continue to move up strongly in the next few weeks and moving above the 26,616 level, then it is still forming its major wave 7.
If Dow is unable to go above the 26,616 level, I cannot rule out the possibility that it is on the tail-end of the wave B of its major wave 8.
For FBMKLCI, I am still holding on to my previous readings with close correlation to the Dow.
USD/MYR (4.1025)
After going through the Monthly, weekly and daily chart carefully again, it appeared to me that vert likely the current weakening of the Malaysian Ringgit is the wave ii of its wave C and this wave ii is about to complete. I am quite bullish on ringgit. The next strengthening may bring USD/MYR to around 3.00 level.
EG Industries Bhd (Rm 0.60)
EG formed a very strong candlestick on Friday with very high volume of 9.3 million shares changed hand. It added 6 sens (+11%) at the close after touching an intra-day high of 62.5 sens. Is this the first candle of its mini wave 3? Is the run-up since early July marked the starting of its mega wave (3).
Is EG forming an 'inverted head and shoulder' pattern? I am keeping my fingers crossed.
Miscellaneous
They forgot what they have done in those years before GE14.
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Not much changes to my reading for Dow. If it can continue to move up strongly in the next few weeks and moving above the 26,616 level, then it is still forming its major wave 7.
If Dow is unable to go above the 26,616 level, I cannot rule out the possibility that it is on the tail-end of the wave B of its major wave 8.
For FBMKLCI, I am still holding on to my previous readings with close correlation to the Dow.
USD/MYR (4.1025)
After going through the Monthly, weekly and daily chart carefully again, it appeared to me that vert likely the current weakening of the Malaysian Ringgit is the wave ii of its wave C and this wave ii is about to complete. I am quite bullish on ringgit. The next strengthening may bring USD/MYR to around 3.00 level.
EG Industries Bhd (Rm 0.60)
EG formed a very strong candlestick on Friday with very high volume of 9.3 million shares changed hand. It added 6 sens (+11%) at the close after touching an intra-day high of 62.5 sens. Is this the first candle of its mini wave 3? Is the run-up since early July marked the starting of its mega wave (3).
Is EG forming an 'inverted head and shoulder' pattern? I am keeping my fingers crossed.
Miscellaneous
They forgot what they have done in those years before GE14.
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Wednesday, August 15, 2018
Rare Planetary Arrangement..
Our solar system originally has 9 planets with the discovery of Pluto in 1930. In 2006, in a highly controversial decision the International Astronomical Union has classified Pluto as 'dwarf planet', reducing the list of 'real planets' in our solar system to the current 8 planets. Mercury is nearest to the Sun and Neptune is furthest away from the Sun.
Starting 19th July 2018 until 1st September 2018 our solar system is experiencing a rare planetary arrangement, all the 8 planets plus the demoted Pluto are moving to one side of the Sun leaving the region on the other side of the Sun in barren wilderness.
4 weeks has passed since 19th July, the concentration of gravitational force on one side of the Sun has not caused any serious problem to our planet earth except the Indonesia earthquake in Lombok island that killed 430 people so far. Just keep our fingers crossed for another 3 weeks. Don't listen to the doomsayers.
For the stargazer, this phenomenon provides an opportunity to see some of the planets at night. For those interested can go to the site 'Objects in your sky: Planets' to find out the time and location of any visible planets.
Within this week the planets that can be seen in Kuala Lumpur sky are Venus, Mars, Jupiter, Saturn, Uranus and Neptune.
In North American sky at mid-week from August 13 to August 20, Mars, Saturn, Jupiter and Venus can be seen
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Monday, August 13, 2018
New Currency crisis in the making ?
Asia markets dropped sharply on Monday as investor sentiment took a knock amid the renewed slump in the Turkish lira.
The Turkish lira has dropped about 41% against the US$ in August. So far it has dropped 85% this year. In 2012 to 2013 the lira was holding very well at around 1.7 lira to 1 US$. In today's trading, the lira reached an intra-day high of 7.0409 (-9.5%) from its Friday level of 6.4275 before recovering to around current level of 6.8795 (-7% within a day).
The country withe the worst financial crisis this year is Venezuela. Its currency the Venezualan Bolivar has dropped from its February level of 24,825 bolivar to 1 US$ to last Friday closing of 248,520 bolivar to 1 US$. The drop is 900%.
Which country is next in line ?
Luckily we have kicked out BN.
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The Turkish lira has dropped about 41% against the US$ in August. So far it has dropped 85% this year. In 2012 to 2013 the lira was holding very well at around 1.7 lira to 1 US$. In today's trading, the lira reached an intra-day high of 7.0409 (-9.5%) from its Friday level of 6.4275 before recovering to around current level of 6.8795 (-7% within a day).
The country withe the worst financial crisis this year is Venezuela. Its currency the Venezualan Bolivar has dropped from its February level of 24,825 bolivar to 1 US$ to last Friday closing of 248,520 bolivar to 1 US$. The drop is 900%.
Which country is next in line ?
Luckily we have kicked out BN.
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Saturday, August 11, 2018
Weekly Update
Dow (25,313)
After 2 weeks I am still unable to confirm which way Dow is heading at this moment. But if one believed that the trade war between US and China can only going from bad to worst, Dow is more likely to go south, heading for 23,000 level, another 2,313 points or 9.1% to go before completing its major wave 8.
FBMKLCI (1,805)
I expect KLCI to move in tandem with the Dow with respect to the two possibilities.
One of my readers has asked for an example for stock with OBV showing stock distribution by the 'smart money'. One good example is the Star Media Group Bhd (Rm1.24). Very likely in early 2015 'distribution' has started.
Another stock is ATTA Global Group Bhd (Rm0.86).
There is a different between Star and ATTA (please remember that my observation can be wrong), the distribution for Star were done by 'investors' that do not see a future in newspaper's business. They have given up hope on this stock.
For ATTA, the accumulation and distribution were done by 'smart speculators' with a simple plan - accumulate - pushing the price - distribute - short selling - buy back. 'Round one' completed. Looking at the OBV, 'they' are still holding some stocks. Have they started the 'Round two'? Are they accumulating?
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After 2 weeks I am still unable to confirm which way Dow is heading at this moment. But if one believed that the trade war between US and China can only going from bad to worst, Dow is more likely to go south, heading for 23,000 level, another 2,313 points or 9.1% to go before completing its major wave 8.
FBMKLCI (1,805)
I expect KLCI to move in tandem with the Dow with respect to the two possibilities.
One of my readers has asked for an example for stock with OBV showing stock distribution by the 'smart money'. One good example is the Star Media Group Bhd (Rm1.24). Very likely in early 2015 'distribution' has started.
Another stock is ATTA Global Group Bhd (Rm0.86).
There is a different between Star and ATTA (please remember that my observation can be wrong), the distribution for Star were done by 'investors' that do not see a future in newspaper's business. They have given up hope on this stock.
For ATTA, the accumulation and distribution were done by 'smart speculators' with a simple plan - accumulate - pushing the price - distribute - short selling - buy back. 'Round one' completed. Looking at the OBV, 'they' are still holding some stocks. Have they started the 'Round two'? Are they accumulating?
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Wednesday, August 8, 2018
Tuesday, August 7, 2018
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