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Shanghai -5.79%, Bombay -4.07%, Nikkei -3.10%, Hang Seng -3.62% and STI -3.25% the reason as reported in Yahoo - concerns about consumer spending. To me that is only an excuse, the world markets have been running since July 13 without a meaningful correction. A lot of people have been looking for quite sometimes for this correction and have been frustrated times and again by don't know who that kept on pushing the stocks for a higher close.
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I still maintained that the rebound since March is a B wave. The main question now is whether the B wave has finished as shown above or this current pullback is only sub-wave 2 of (III), we still have sub-waves 3, 4 and 5 in front.
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Hang Seng is the same as Dow. The sharp drop can be sub-wave ii of wave 3 of B
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Or the B wave is completed.
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Singapore STI is the same as Hang Seng and Dow.
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The only way to confirm whether wave B has been completed is to look at the magnitude of the pullback. Refer to the 6-month chart above, during the wave (I) up trend, the magnitudes of sub-wave pullback vary from 3.5% to 5%. The major (II) pullback is about 7.5%. If Dow is currently in sub-wave 2, a 3.5% pullback will bring Dow to 9070 as shown and a 5% pullback will bring it to 8930. To me, as long as the Dow does not go below 8900, it is sub-wave 2, it will be followed by sub-wave 3, 4 and 5.
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However if Dow goes below 8900, chances is very high that the August 13's closing value of 9398 is the end of wave B.
There are many other possibilities but I shall monitor the Dow based on wave B theory until such time the chart tells me that It is not wave B, it is something else.
2 comments:
PKR MP arrested. See video below ;
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Uq75xzjug1A
Some of these police men are more fierce than the bear shown in your photo. lah !!!
Is it an bad omen ? Shall we get out from the market before we get caught by the bear ?
Nothing to worry lah. If Dow is OK and running. Again it depends on how ugly and serious the situation can develop
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