All the three Indices closed with 5 consecutive gains in a row in the last 5 trading sessions. During this period, Dow put on 2.8%, S&P gained 2% and Nasdaq is the biggest winner with positive 4.8%.
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As shown above, both S&P and Nasdaq have broken their respective short-term upper resistance lines and were pulling away indicating a clear breakout. However until the closing of Friday trading, Dow has yet to break its upper resistance, it is only a matter time before it follows the path of S&P and Nasdaq because ultimately the chart patterns for all the 3 indices have to almost similar.
Assuming Dow can break its upper resistance line, then Dow is forming the pattern of scenario 3 as mentioned in my recent post and as shown below.
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In my previous post, for the current major wave
(III), for my own convenient I have assigned the waves as 1-2-3-4-5-6-7-8-9-10 and that Dow is going for wave 11, 12 and 13. In order to provide a uniform wave count for all the 3 indices, I have replaced the wave count of 1 to 10 by sub-wave i-ii-iii-iv-v/wave 1-2-3-4-5-6 and projecting Dow to go for wave 7, 8 and 9 to complete the major wave
(III) as shown above. Wave 1 is the extended wave.
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Similarly, Nasdaq has 5 waves except that its extended wave is wave 3 instead of wave 1. It is moving ahead to form wave 7, 8 and 9.
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Surprisingly S&P's wave count is closer to Nasdaq than to Dow with extended wave in wave 3. Let's wait and see whether scenario 3 is the correct one. If so, this major wave
(III) can run until Chinese New Year. If 2010's Tiger is the same as the previous 3 tigers as mentioned in my previous post, them this wave (III) can possibly be the mega wave B, this is what Robert Prechter has been talking about. See chart below.
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If really this is the case, get out at
B and buy in at C can be very juicy, may be Bank of America will go down to US$2 again, Fannie Mae to less than US 30 cents again and Las Vegas Sand to US$2.00