![](https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgaHd17t5e63MZ0LcakdgdY1Eszyl-BftwvNQ-8ydR2SjD7WK79vmdjv1NYlXI6yJz052goGHY_PI55uE-LqRYJkzBiMNYTGziGkzPPB3-cSZSc25fujPGhJZcX3DzYurBswaSZ22ULQIs/s400/happy+bull.jpg)
(Double click on chart for enlarged version)Possibility No. 1 - Dow has completed its major wave (I) as shown above. Major wave (II) is about to begin. This (II) can either take the form of a sharp in magnitude but short in duration a-b-c formation or a shallow but long duration a-b-c-d-e formation. This major (II) provides an opportunity for those who have not participated so far to board the train.
![](https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgW1CwyF6jvoUEICWg6yS5g-WmWWSt4F441IyY8XYSkyemNCFt5nYNJMvKSKqq4gpdXY79L6aZrMZI49KR9sfvgg05jSOz08MyoNGxBJq8Z4KIMSIGOnjSrRc1anughDQMqif1hyphenhyphenLoHBRI/s400/3M050609+Line%28B%29.jpg)
Possibility 2 - This is a very bullish formation. Dow as shown above has completed the major wave (I) and (II) and has just completed sub-wave 1 of major wave (III). The sub-wave 2 of (III) will take about a week before the dynamic sub-wave 3 of (III) starts to run.
![](https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjLaqomt_n8H2BTsyQ0ZXP8Y4h5zLo2br9F5nPC9-7F6JVWVLe1piL6M4E_t8zK3Hv_iSMwlbm8cgDxyHQ6l8ikfca_ivfHM9Ce1xwAa20Re4sRe42BNohD0He5492w-XFcr0QxZ2YWLqc/s400/3M050609+Line%28C%29.jpg)
Possibility 3 - This is a very very bearish option. I put in this slim-chance possibility is purely based on some of my other indicator's cycle study. As shown above the formation is typical rebound wave of 3-waves with a short wave (III). This is a major rebound wave (6) of the bear that started in October 2007 as shown in the long-term chart below. The following wave (7) will take Dow to the bottom of 5 at 6,547 or even lower.
![](https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjpXh9bZ8eSKWhOqxiChYgD1OZOieitzI7AM6lSAaNfl1mZNdIC2fyQqJt5C7c3xWuzLbfVV_hC4ptQV2ZMZfddCzcs6vjSwmYB50jyiRp9lIA0mgFDfppVKi2bxejtGI2gudpx_x62DTA/s400/3Y050609.jpg)
There are many other possibilities and whatever is the final outcome it can fit into one of the Elliott's principles.
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