Saturday, December 6, 2014

Weekly Update


Dow (17,958)

Dow continued with its mini-wave 5 and has another record closing on Friday. How high will it go before the bubble burst ?


Marc Faber, 'Dr. Doom' has been expecting 'a major correction' for two years, but the market has instead moved up by more than 30%. One year ago, Roubini changed his view from bearish to bullish and he said on Thursday that 'the asset bubble won't pop until 2016'.

For me, I will be very very cautious at every possible major turning point and be prepared to run for my life. The next possible major turning point is at the end of mini-wave 5.

FBMKLCI (1749)

KLCI is at the tail end of wave c of 4.


Hopefully next week KLCI can form the wave iv of c.


KSL Holdings Bhd (Rm 4.26)

On Thursday KSL issued an amended announcement to clarify that the dividend per share after the 1 for 1 bonus issue shall remain at 5 sens. This is equivalent to a 10 sens dividend per share before ex-bonus.


If my reading is correct, the next wave up will be the sub-wave iii of wave (v) of major wave 3.


Berjaya Corporation Bhd (Rm 0.435)

BJCorp continued to set new low on Friday. Hopefully its bear run since 2010 can end with the completion of mini-wave 4 and 5.


Priceworth International Bhd (Rm 0.175)

Hopefully my reading is correct and PWorth can end its major wave 2 with the completion of mini wave 4 and 5.


If this major wave 2 ends at 16 sens level, then it is a 100% retracement wave. However, if it punches through the 16 sens level, it means only one thing, my wave count for PWorth all this while is wrong, I will need to review my whole wave count, just like the mistake I made for BJCorp.

Whatever happen, as long as the monthly log production figures for PWorth is in an up-trend and can reach 100,000 cu.m a month by 2017, this stock can be a goldmine. However if the asset bubble does burst in 2016, don't hold any stock, even if it is a potential goldmine.


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