![](https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjUcjeweDSrzuH1fLQx_7PgzESLHORheesYbzhlXAa0BRiBp4VUduBANGUT6rdyez6PUelliRncca_GMBzCi3LllaprB1LvWqthDfPJm3O-OO378bq-9ZkiO02lyJIk93o3oeBD11YxGhs/s400/Gold+1.png)
In my 23rd September, 2011 post, 'Gold - Part 1', I presented the following projection for gold price.
![](https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjhrYmIOEXNkAGfO4_ucZtWaE6TAp34Jr2q4Czm-MR7Zu6xRL80hcygZoWYf7tUCFDnuxZCaM1gOIafgafXiYJxeNDbXrtyL4NUJnRE2jjF8nJTkuCg4eKMg6y-l4Vv3Sg0_1e7et02fgk/s400/gold+since+1973.jpg)
I expected a 1-year wave 4 consolidation after its August 2011 wave 3 high of $1,909.00/oz. I have also projected a $3,000.00/oz for its wave 5's high by 2015.
![](https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjKByUADakOsa9ibi943W9VG500kYppWx-NDDISdMniXwRO7eNlfmGMtgaF0KHqGI2uFlLD5UQflftsPUdyuIOYLPWRkeFZ6qm4SjRQhU4OhEPTDxDeEKhkoH4rBMJn4De3CIqnoFiTsP4/s400/Gold+30Y022812.jpg)
Since its August, 2011's high, so far it has formed a a-b-c wave pattern.
![](https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjZLwBJf25T4MCeJTMrUQYRB1e33MxU5VRCi408uMD23VMJzcGOsmCK3wpyUMkRcjcTsztrwKHsjb5cbJlZqc7IQ3eLHppaeZbmJD4JG75IPz-NJNOTQuN_5Es64CmI3hBZBhfyUUevwjQ/s400/Gold+5Y022812.jpg)
The wave count as shown below, wave a has 3 waves, wave b has another 3 waves and wave c has 5 waves, a typical 3-3-5, a-b-c formation. Is the 29th December's low of $1,526.00/oz the end of wave 4 ?
Possible, but the duration of four months for wave 4 is rather short compared to the twelve months duration for wave 2. There is a possibility that wave 4 may go for a complex a-b-c-X-a-b-c formation instead of a simple a-b-c formation.
![](https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEidlFzPZTqlplTjmH6rWnyO3gmLmDk4jVNkOxYcSmhe1orhOpzxIvS7Hmz1VR762E-WvioRv2gNmeGGfeY7NCceQFE1FtkgTldVscOLx_ZIRjVzGOFUNZ-zoaJTdWqozERewfcmGvucWps/s400/Gold+1Y022812.jpg)
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