Saturday, June 13, 2015

Dow - Major wave (6) or mega wave 2 ?


Dow (17,898)

Dow dropped 140 points (-0.78%) on Friday to close at 17,898 level.

 
 
The main question now is whether the current correction is the major wave (6), a 12% correction to around 16,117 level,
 


Or it is a mega wave 2 with a minimum  correction of 42% to 10,655 level and a maximum correction of 64%, which is a 100% retracement of mega wave 1, to its starting point at 6,547 level.

 
 
This is my interpretation for Dow at this moment and I would like to emphasize that there is always this possibility that my technical interpretation could be wrong.
 
It is always good to have a look at what the Gurus have said once in a while.
 
Marc Faber : Stocks are about to fall 40% at least.
 
30th April, 2015 - 
 
"For the last two years, I have been thinking that U.S. stocks are due for a correction ........"
 
"But I always say a bubble is a bubble, and if there is no correction, the market will go up and one day it will go down, big time."
 
"The market is in a position where it's not just going to be a 10% correction. Maybe it first goes up a bit further, but when it comes, it will be 30% or 40% minimum."
 
Despite his massively bearish call, Faber said he is "not short the market yet," since he doesn't know how high stocks could go in the interim.
 
Robert Prechter : Stock Market at High Risk of Collapse.
 
10th June, 2015 -
 
"If the cycle is still operating, the stock market is at high risk of a sharp collapse,"
 
"Near-term, we are prepared to see the Dow make one more high. But it doesn't have to happen."
 
Peter Schiff : The Real Earthquake is about to hit.
 
30th December 2014 -
 
Quote from Wall Street Daily, "Don't try to praise bestselling author, Peter Schiff, for accurately predicting the 2008/2009 financial crisis. That is, because in his opinion, that financial crisis wasn't the REAL crash ....... it was only a tremor before the big one hit."
 
Nouriel Roubini : 'Liquidity time bomb' will eventually 'Trigger a bust and a collapse'.
 
1st June, 2015 -
 
"As more investors pile into overvalued, increasingly illiquid assets, the risk of a long-term crash increases. Market illiquidity will eventually trigger a bust and collapse."
 
 
 
 
 
.

No comments:

Post a Comment