Thursday, February 12, 2015

CLSA Feng Shui Index

CLSA (Credit Lyonnais Securities Asia) has published its 2015 Feng Shui Index forecast for the Hang Seng Index.


In 2015 Hang Seng is expected to move higher from February to June. It will move lower from July to September. Expected to rebound in October and November follow by correction in December 2015 and January 2016.

For 2012, at a glance, I would say the Feng Shui Index of CLSA is rather accurate except that the 2012's low was out by 2 months and that Hang Seng continued to move higher in the last two months .

A more detailed month to month comparison shows that 6 out of 12 months are wrong.


For 2013, at a glance, the general shape is out. A month to month comparison shows that 8 out of 12 months are wrong.


For 2014, CLSA Feng Shui Index is highly accurate. The general shape is there. Monthly comparison shows that only 3 months were wrong.


If  2015 Feng Shui Index can have the same accuracy as 2014 Index, Hang Seng will run higher from now to June (5 months) without any significant correction.


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